LARRYEBOYER said:
...What are the standards for certification for a engine to be used in a certified aircraft?...
Although I do not dismiss the FAA standards like some people do, my reasoning has nothing to do with these standards. There are a few reasons I believe the Continentals and Lycomings are MUCH more reliable than auto conversions:
The Continentals and Lycomings were around for over 50 years. In this long period of time, the sole concern of these manufacturers, other than meeting FAA requirements, was to make the engines reliable. Unlike in the automobile business, in aviation reliability is not compromised for better durability or lower costs.
After millions and millions of operating hours, and I don't know how many ADs, these simple engines have been perfected to the point that engine out occurrences due to mechanical failures are very rare. Most engine problems are due to negligence. I have searched the NTSB accident website for accidents involving Cessna 172s for “loss of power”. From January 1999 until today there were only 24 such accidents. Most of them were the result of fuel starvation. Others were due to carburetor icing. Only 5 were due to mechanical failure. I don’t know how many C-172s are flying today, but that is the most popular GA airplane. Only 5 engine outs due to mechanical failure! Not bad for an air-cooled engine huh? (btw - It is not completely accurate to say these engines are air cooled - much of their cooling is achieved through the oil cooler.)
In my previous post I have mentioned fault tree analysis. This is the science of statistically quantifying the risk of a system failure. This method was first developed in the Air Force, and today we use this method to quantify risk in almost any complicated system. I personally use it in the design of chemical plants.
The most basic rule in fault tree analysis is that the risk of failure is proportional to the number of item that can fail in any given system. Take the Space Shuttle for example. Every single part in the Shuttle is designed to the highest standards, and the probability of any single item failing is very small. But there are so many operating parts in a shuttle, that the likelihood of something breaking down in any single mission is very high.
Although I agree with you that the duty-cycle (pistons, crank shaft, etc.) part of the soob is very durable and reliable, there are too many other systems that can put this reliable baby to sleep. A few examples are the ignition, cooling, and PSRU. All, non-aviation parts. Calculate the likelihood that any of these parts would fail in flight, add them up, and you get a pretty high probability for failure. But you don’t have to do the math. Just call all your RAF/soob friends and ask if they ever had to make an emergency landing due to power loss, or if they know anyone who has.
Without digging too deep, I can think of at least 4 soob-equipped gyro emergency landings in the past year - all due to mechanical failure. 4 out of how many flying? Maybe 400? Can you now see the difference between the soobs and the certified engines?
Udi